Southwest Airlines Reports Third Quarter Profit

DALLAS, Oct. 26, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:LUV) (the "Company") today reported its third quarter 2016 results:

• Net income of $388 million, or $.62 per diluted share, compared with third quarter 2015 net income of $584 million, or $.88 per diluted share.
• Excluding special items¹, net income of $582 million, or $.93 per diluted share, compared with third quarter 2015 net income of $623 million, or $.94 per diluted share. This compared to First Call third quarter 2016 consensus estimate of $0.88 per diluted share.
• Operating income of $695 million, resulting in an operating margin² of 13.5 percent.
• Excluding special items, operating income of $972 million, resulting in an operating margin³ of 18.9 percent.
• Operating cash flow of $856 million; free cash flow¹ of $392 million; returned $312 million to Shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases.
• Return on invested capital (ROIC)¹ for 12 months ended September 30, 2016 of 32.3 percent.

Gary C. Kelly, Chairman of the Board, President, and Chief Executive Officer, stated, "We are pleased to report another quarter of strong cash flows and healthy margins. We benefited from low fuel prices and record third quarter traffic levels in a competitive fare environment. I am very grateful for our People and their hard work. They did an outstanding job and produced superb results, especially considering the operational challenges caused by the technology outage in July. Their efforts to serve our Customers were truly heroic, and I am very appreciative.

"We are delighted to have reached tentative agreements with our Facilities Maintenance Technicians, Pilots, Flight Attendants, and Aircraft Appearance Technicians. These proposed agreements are subject to a ratification vote of each respective Employee group.

"The successful implementation of our new reservation system is a top priority for this quarter. The first release is currently scheduled for December, and final technology readiness is progressing as planned.

"We are excited about the fourth quarter 2016 scheduled launch of new service to Cuba from Florida⁴, as well as Mexico service from Los Angeles International Airport. Also, we are on track for completion of a new five-gate international terminal in Ft. Lauderdale with new international routes planned for mid-2017.

"We also have exciting growth opportunities beyond those planned for next year. We will continue to manage our growth prudently in light of the revenue environment and increasing fuel prices. We plan to slow our 2017 available seat mile growth rate to less than 4.0 percent, year-over-year, with approximately 2.0 points of the increase relating to domestic growth."

Revenue Results and Outlook

The Company's total operating revenues were $5.1 billion, driven largely by third quarter 2016 passenger revenues of $4.7 billion. As compared with third quarter 2015, total operating revenues declined 3.4 percent on a 4.2 percent increase in available seat miles. Third quarter 2015 operating revenues included a one-time special revenue adjustment of $172 million recorded as a result of the amended co-branded credit card agreement with Chase Bank USA, N.A. (Chase) and a resulting required change in accounting methodology. Excluding this special item, third quarter 2016 total operating revenues were comparable to third quarter 2015, despite an estimated $55 million reduction in third quarter 2016 revenues due to the Company's July technology outage. Customer demand remained strong during third quarter, with lower year-over-year fares resulting in a 4.9 percent decline in passenger revenue yield, as compared with third quarter 2015. Operating unit revenues (RASM) declined 4.1 percent, as compared with third quarter 2015 excluding the one-time special revenue adjustment of $172 million. While current trends suggest a stabilization of close-in fares, the overall revenue yield environment remains soft. Based on these trends, the shift in holiday timing, and bookings thus far, the Company expects fourth quarter 2016 RASM to decline in the 4 to 5 percent range, compared with fourth quarter 2015 RASM.

Cost Performance and Outlook

Third quarter 2016 total operating expenses increased 8.6 percent to $4.4 billion, and increased 4.2 percent on a unit basis, as compared with third quarter 2015. During third quarter 2016, the Company acquired four of its Boeing 737-300 aircraft off operating lease. As a result, the Company recorded lease termination costs totaling $18 million as a special item and recorded the fair value of the aircraft, as well as the associated remaining obligations to the balance sheet as debt. During third quarter 2016, the Company also expensed $356 million (before profitsharing expense and income taxes) related to proposed union contract signing bonuses as a special item. Excluding special items, total operating expenses increased 1.7 percent to $4.2 billion, and decreased 2.4 percent on a unit basis.

Third quarter 2016 economic fuel costs¹ were $2.02 per gallon, including $0.56 per gallon in unfavorable cash settlements from fuel derivative contracts, compared with $2.20 per gallon in third quarter 2015, including $0.50 per gallon in unfavorable cash settlements from fuel derivative contracts. Based on the Company's existing fuel derivative contracts and market prices as of October 20, 2016, fourth quarter 2016 economic fuel costs are estimated to be approximately $2.10 per gallon⁵. As of October 20, 2016, the fair market value of the Company's fuel derivative contracts for fourth quarter 2016 was a net liability of approximately $240 million. For 2017 and 2018, combined, the hedge portfolio was a net liability of approximately $440 million. Additional information regarding the Company's fuel derivative contracts is included in the accompanying tables.

Excluding fuel and oil expense and special items in both periods, third quarter 2016 operating expenses increased 3.9 percent compared with third quarter 2015. Third quarter 2016 profitsharing expense was $101 million, compared with $177 million in third quarter 2015. Excluding fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing expense, third quarter 2016 operating costs increased 6.8 percent, and 2.6 percent on a unit basis, both year-over-year, and including approximately $24 million in expenses related to the Company's July technology outage. Based on current trends and excluding fuel and oil expense, special items, and profitsharing expense, the Company expects its fourth quarter 2016 unit costs to increase in the four to five percent range⁶, year-over-year, driven by the estimated impact of proposed and amended union contracts and the additional depreciation expense associated with the accelerated retirement of the Company's Classic fleet (Boeing 737-300/-500 aircraft) to third quarter 2017.

Third Quarter Results

Third quarter 2016 operating income was $695 million, compared with $1.2 billion in third quarter 2015. Excluding special items, third quarter 2016 operating income was $972 million, compared with $1.0 billion in third quarter 2015.

Other expenses in third quarter 2016 were $77 million, compared with $292 million in third quarter 2015. The $215 million decrease resulted primarily from $64 million in other losses recognized in third quarter 2016, compared with $272 million in third quarter 2015. In both periods, these losses included ineffectiveness and unrealized mark-to-market amounts associated with a portion of the Company's fuel hedge portfolio, which are special items. Excluding these special items, other losses were $33 million in both periods, primarily attributable to the premium costs associated with the Company's fuel derivative contracts. Fourth quarter 2016 premium costs related to fuel derivative contracts are currently estimated to be approximately $36 million, compared with $43 million in fourth quarter 2015. Net interest expense in third quarter 2016 was $13 million, compared with $20 million in third quarter 2015.

Third quarter 2016 net income was $388 million, or $0.62 per diluted share, compared with third quarter 2015 net income of $584 million, or $.88 per diluted share. Excluding special items, third quarter net income was $582 million, or $.93 per diluted share, compared with third quarter 2015 net income of $623 million, or $.94 per diluted share.

Liquidity and Capital Deployment

As of September 30, 2016, the Company had approximately $3.4 billion in cash and short-term investments, and a fully available unsecured revolving credit line of $1 billion. During third quarter 2016, the Company entered into a new unsecured five-year revolving credit facility, and terminated its previous $1 billion facility, which would have expired in April 2018. Net cash provided by operations during third quarter 2016 was $856 million, capital expenditures were $464 million, and free cash flow was $392 million. The Company repaid $68 million in debt and capital lease obligations during third quarter 2016, and expects to repay approximately $450 million in debt and capital lease obligations in fourth quarter 2016.

During third quarter 2016, the Company returned $312 million to its Shareholders through the payment of $62 million in dividends and the repurchase of 6.7 million shares in common stock for $250 million. The common stock repurchased was pursuant to an accelerated share repurchase program launched during third quarter 2016 and completed this month. The Company has $1.25 billion remaining under its May 2016 $2.0 billion share repurchase program.

For the nine months ended September 30, 2016, net cash provided by operations was $3.6 billion, capital expenditures were $1.4 billion, and assets constructed for others, net of reimbursements, were $2 million, resulting in free cash flow of $2.2 billion. This enabled the Company to return approximately $1.7 billion to Shareholders through the payment of $222 million in dividends and the repurchase of $1.5 billion in common stock.

Fleet and Capacity

The Company ended third quarter 2016 with 714 aircraft in its fleet. This reflects the third quarter 2016 delivery of 11 new Boeing 737-800s, and the retirement of 16 Boeing 737 Classic aircraft, including the last -500 aircraft in the Company's fleet. The Company plans to end this year with 723 aircraft, with 2016 available seat mile growth in the five to six percent range, year-over-year. Additional information regarding the Company's aircraft delivery schedule is included in the accompanying tables.

Awards and Recognitions

• Ranked among top Airline Rewards Programs by U.S. News & World Report.
• Named Simpliflying's Best Airline in Customer Service, Best Airline in Social Media, and Best Airline in North America.
• Included among top 10 of Glassdoor's Best Places to Interview 2016.
• Voted Most Trusted Brand for Airlines in Reader's Digest's 2016 Most Trusted Brands.
• Southwest Cargo received Logistics Management Magazine's 2016 Quest for Quality Award for the 20^th consecutive year.

Conference Call

The Company will discuss its third quarter 2016 results on a conference call at 12:30 p.m. Eastern Time today. To listen to a live broadcast of the conference call please go to http://investors.southwest.com

¹See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures for additional information on special items, ROIC, and free cash flow. In addition, information regarding special items, ROIC, and economic results is included in the accompanying reconciliation tables.
²Operating margin is calculated as operating income divided by operating revenues.
³Operating margin, excluding special items, is calculated as operating income, excluding special items, divided by operating revenues. See Note Regarding Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures. In addition, information regarding special items is included in the accompanying reconciliation tables.
⁴Pending the approvals of the Cuban government.
⁵Projections do not reflect the potential impact of special items because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate those items or expenses or their impact to its financial statements in future periods, especially considering the significant volatility of the fuel and oil expense line item. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort.
⁶Year-over-year projections do not reflect the potential impact of fuel and oil expense, profitsharing expense, and special items in both years because the Company cannot reliably predict or estimate those items or expenses or their impact to its financial statements in future periods, especially considering the significant volatility of the fuel and oil expense line item. Accordingly, the Company believes a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the equivalent GAAP financial measures for projected results is not meaningful or available without unreasonable effort.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

This news release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Specific forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements related to (i) the Company's financial outlook, expectations, strategies, and projected results of operations, including specific factors expected to impact the Company's results of operations; (ii) the Company's plans and expectations related to labor matters; (iii) the Company's plans and expectations with respect to its new reservation system and other technology initiatives, and the Company's related multi-faceted financial and operational expectations and opportunities; (iv) the Company's growth plans, strategies, and opportunities, including its network and capacity plans, opportunities, and expectations; (v) the Company's expectations related to its management of risk associated with changing jet fuel prices; (vi) the Company's expectations with respect to liquidity (including its plans for the repayment of debt and capital lease obligations) and capital expenditures; and (vii) the Company's fleet plans and expectations. These forward-looking statements are based on the Company's current intent, expectations, and projections and are not guarantees of future performance. These statements involve risks, uncertainties, assumptions, and other factors that are difficult to predict and that could cause actual results to vary materially from those expressed in or indicated by them. Factors include, among others, (i) changes in demand for the Company's services and other changes in consumer behavior; (ii) the impact of economic conditions, fuel prices, actions of competitors (including without limitation pricing, scheduling, and capacity decisions and consolidation), and other factors beyond the Company's control, on the Company's business decisions, plans, and strategies; (iii) the impact of labor matters on the Company's business decisions, plans, strategies, and costs; (iv) the Company's dependence on third parties, in particular with respect to its fleet and technology plans; (v) the impact of governmental regulations and other governmental actions related to the Company's operations; (vi) the Company's ability to timely and effectively implement, transition, and maintain the necessary information technology systems and infrastructure to support its operations and initiatives; (vii) changes in aircraft fuel prices, the impact of hedge accounting, and any changes to the Company's fuel hedging strategies and positions; and (viii) other factors, as described in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the detailed factors discussed under the heading "Risk Factors" in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015.

SW-QFS